?
arrow_backBack to match
WePlay AniMajor 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quincy Crewwin 2:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NoPing VPNloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Quincy Crew

No games played over 6 months.

NoPing VPN

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 21 game
76%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 18 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 16 games
69%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 13 games
85%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Matthew · 13 games
77%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkMago · 12 games
42%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Mariano · 11 games
55%
Viper
Vipersignature
Panda · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
404 picks · 214 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
402 picks · 632 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
387 picks · 977 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
362 picks · 348 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
359 picks · 201 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
309 picks · 222 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
278 picks · 209 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
277 picks · 379 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 65%
Hero pool strength58% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Quincy Crew
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:25
Quincy Crew 57%NoPing VPN 43%
The model gave 57% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 20:38.
Game 2prediction missed22:30
Quincy Crew 57%NoPing VPN 43%
The model gave 57% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 34:35.
Game 3prediction missed30:20
Quincy Crew 57%NoPing VPN 43%
The model gave 57% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 40:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuincy Crew · 57%
Series resultQuincy Crew 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3