ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Quincy Crewloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Thunder Awakenwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quincy Crew
No games played over 6 months.
Thunder Awaken
Phoenixsignature
Mjz · 7 games
Pangoliersignature
Frank · 6 games
Puckoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Frank · 4 games
Earthshaker
MoOz · 4 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
426 picks · 975 bans
Void Spirit
402 picks · 593 bans
Mars
351 picks · 634 bans
Earth Spirit
313 picks · 271 bans
Death Prophet
310 picks · 615 bans
Rubick
259 picks · 174 bans
Wraith King
253 picks · 420 bans
Phoenix
252 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 69%
Hero pool strength63% Thunder Awaken
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Quincy Crew
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:20
Quincy Crew 50%Thunder Awaken 50%
The model gave 50% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 34:55.
Game 2prediction missed23:31
Quincy Crew 50%Thunder Awaken 50%
The model gave 50% on Quincy Crew — the game was taken by Thunder Awaken in 42:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuincy Crew · 50%
Series resultThunder Awaken 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2