CCT Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
РАБОТЯГИloss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
EGEnd Gamewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
РАБОТЯГИ
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 7 games
Slardaroften banned
spirit · 6 games
Lion
lupsione · 5 games
Puckoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
Tusk
lupsione · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
zvёzd · 4 games
Marcioften banned
Somnia · 4 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
spirit · 4 games
End Game
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
540 picks · 763 bans
Muerta
440 picks · 326 bans
Phoenix
435 picks · 709 bans
Clockwerk
413 picks · 405 bans
Phantom Assassin
402 picks · 701 bans
Bristleback
394 picks · 889 bans
Magnus
390 picks · 1047 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 519 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 33%
Hero pool strength54% End Game
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% End Game
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
РАБОТЯГИ 37%End Game 63%
The model gave 63% on End Game — the game was taken by End Game.
Game 2prediction correct
РАБОТЯГИ 37%End Game 63%
The model gave 63% on End Game — the game was taken by End Game.
Model check result
Model favoriteEnd Game · 63%
Series resultEnd Game 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2