OB.Moon Asian Arena · BO2
result vs prediction
Ragdollloss 0:2series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Army Geniuseswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ragdoll
No games played over 6 months.
Army Geniuses
Earth Spirit
Lym- · 14 games
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 12 games
Mirana
Lym- · 10 games
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 8 games
Marsoften banned
woMy · 8 games
Axeoften banned
db- · 7 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 7 games
Hoodwink
Lym- · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
370 picks · 172 bans
Hoodwink
347 picks · 123 bans
Lina
266 picks · 451 bans
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 523 bans
Luna
249 picks · 345 bans
Mars
238 picks · 410 bans
Winter Wyvern
238 picks · 245 bans
Dragon Knight
236 picks · 329 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 29%
Hero pool strength53% Ragdoll
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Ragdoll
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRagdoll · 75%
Series resultArmy Geniuses 0:2
Series predictionmissed