FISSURE Universe: Episode 8. Открытая квалификация · BO1
result vs predictionRRakChamploss 0:1
series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
RakChamp
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 19 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 19 games
Marssignature
Covisnine · 16 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 14 games
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
Pucksignature
young G · 13 games
Snapfire
xsvampire · 13 games
Underlord
Covisnine · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
533 picks · 774 bans
Tusk
494 picks · 346 bans
Dragon Knight
464 picks · 638 bans
Centaur Warrunner
441 picks · 553 bans
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 675 bans
Gyrocopter
354 picks · 572 bans
Mars
343 picks · 463 bans
Hoodwink
326 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 42%
Hero pool strength53% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
RakChamp 18%Nemiga Gaming 82%
The model gave 82% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 82%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1