Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Ram Squadwin 2:0series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ram Squad
No games played over 6 months.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
771 picks · 603 bans
Disruptor
548 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
437 picks · 382 bans
Beastmaster
417 picks · 975 bans
Nature's Prophet
401 picks · 680 bans
Undying
399 picks · 594 bans
Ember Spirit
392 picks · 916 bans
Mirana
389 picks · 210 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 38%
Hero pool strength50% Ram Squad
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% HAVU Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:26
Ram Squad 44%HAVU Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on HAVU Gaming — the game was taken by Ram Squad in 26:25.
Game 2prediction missed27:31
Ram Squad 44%HAVU Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on HAVU Gaming — the game was taken by Ram Squad in 35:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteHAVU Gaming · 56%
Series resultRam Squad 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2