Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ramzes Clubwin 2:0series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Daxak Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ramzes Club
No games played over 6 months.
Daxak Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
608 picks · 377 bans
Rubick
499 picks · 276 bans
Phoenix
494 picks · 582 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
411 picks · 570 bans
Puck
348 picks · 940 bans
Beastmaster
337 picks · 875 bans
Tusk
335 picks · 283 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Ramzes Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total78% Ramzes Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ramzes Club 78%Daxak Team 22%
The model gave 78% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Game 2prediction correct
Ramzes Club 78%Daxak Team 22%
The model gave 78% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRamzes Club · 78%
Series resultRamzes Club 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2