Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ramzes Clubwin 2:1series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:1
TpaBoMaH Clubloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ramzes Club
No games played over 6 months.
TpaBoMaH Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
611 picks · 381 bans
Rubick
503 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
498 picks · 586 bans
Tiny
475 picks · 396 bans
Pangolier
415 picks · 576 bans
Puck
355 picks · 951 bans
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
Beastmaster
339 picks · 885 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Ramzes Club
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total72% Ramzes Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Ramzes Club 72%TpaBoMaH Club 28%
The model gave 72% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Club.
Game 2prediction correct
Ramzes Club 72%TpaBoMaH Club 28%
The model gave 72% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Game 3prediction correct
Ramzes Club 72%TpaBoMaH Club 28%
The model gave 72% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRamzes Club · 72%
Series resultRamzes Club 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3