Star Series #3 · BO5
result vs predictionseries probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 3:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ramzes Club
No games played over 6 months.
VooDooSh Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
613 picks · 385 bans
Rubick
505 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
494 picks · 581 bans
Tiny
473 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
415 picks · 578 bans
Puck
350 picks · 957 bans
Tusk
336 picks · 282 bans
Beastmaster
335 picks · 882 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Ramzes Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Ramzes Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ramzes Club 71%VooDooSh Club 29%
The model gave 71% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Game 2prediction missed
Ramzes Club 71%VooDooSh Club 29%
The model gave 71% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by VooDooSh Club.
Game 3prediction correct
Ramzes Club 71%VooDooSh Club 29%
The model gave 71% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Game 4prediction missed
Ramzes Club 71%VooDooSh Club 29%
The model gave 71% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by VooDooSh Club.
Game 5prediction correct
Ramzes Club 71%VooDooSh Club 29%
The model gave 71% on Ramzes Club — the game was taken by Ramzes Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRamzes Club · 71%
Series resultRamzes Club 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5