Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Ravenswin 2:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Fusionloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ravens
No games played over 6 months.
Fusion
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
538 picks · 364 bans
Queen of Pain
474 picks · 572 bans
Mars
442 picks · 595 bans
Weaver
419 picks · 719 bans
Kunkka
351 picks · 540 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 573 bans
Snapfire
334 picks · 166 bans
Wraith King
278 picks · 360 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 56%
Series resultRavens 2:1
Series predictioncorrect