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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Северная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Ravensloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ravens

Rubick
Rubick
d1smar · 14 games
14%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Cara · 13 games
46%
Snapfire
Snapfire
d1smar · 9 games
33%
Tusk
Tusk
PiPi · 9 games
22%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Benjaz · 7 games
29%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Benjaz · 7 games
43%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Benjaz · 7 games
29%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Benjaz · 7 games
43%

Wildcard Gaming

Snapfire
Snapfire
Sammyboy · 19 games
42%
Rubick
Rubick
FrancisLee · 10 games
40%
Tiny
Tiny
Babitich · 10 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Lil_Nick · 9 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Sammyboy · 8 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
RCY · 8 games
75%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Sunlight · 7 games
43%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Sammyboy · 7 games
43%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
738 picks · 582 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
610 picks · 524 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
554 picks · 1100 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
553 picks · 1297 bans
58%
Techies
Techies
493 picks · 554 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
468 picks · 954 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
466 picks · 1119 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
451 picks · 646 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 36%
Hero pool strength57% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:23
Ravens 49%Wildcard Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 44:44.
Game 2prediction correct36:26
Ravens 49%Wildcard Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 37:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 51%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2