Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Ravensloss 0:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Wolf Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ravens
Kunkkaoften banned
DaaD- · 3 games
Mirana
d1smar · 3 games
Disruptor
Cara · 2 games
Iooften banned
Cara · 2 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
Benjaz · 2 games
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
443 picks · 268 bans
Mars
397 picks · 544 bans
Weaver
331 picks · 423 bans
Death Prophet
316 picks · 556 bans
Queen of Pain
303 picks · 466 bans
Tiny
295 picks · 318 bans
Ember Spirit
274 picks · 371 bans
Kunkka
271 picks · 497 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 56%
Hero pool strength53% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 53%
Series resultWolf Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed