BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Ravenswin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wolf Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ravens
Tinysignature
d1smar · 10 games
Monkey Kingsignature
DaaD- · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Benjaz · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
Cara · 5 games
Invokeroften banned
Ñengoflow KELOKE · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Cara · 4 games
Rubick
d1smar · 4 games
Timbersawoften banned
Benjaz · 4 games
Wolf Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
665 picks · 519 bans
Marci
469 picks · 713 bans
Dawnbreaker
448 picks · 616 bans
Puck
439 picks · 900 bans
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 415 bans
Zeus
297 picks · 388 bans
Razor
280 picks · 505 bans
Death Prophet
279 picks · 464 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 42%
Hero pool strength61% Ravens
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% Ravens
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:13
Ravens 57%Wolf Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 34:47.
Game 2prediction correct33:20
Ravens 57%Wolf Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Ravens — the game was taken by Ravens in 31:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteRavens · 57%
Series resultRavens 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2