FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
ReBelloss 1:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
4Pirateswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ReBel
No games played over 6 months.
4Pirates
Muerta
ariel · 6 games
Invokeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 5 games
Lion
ariel · 4 games
Ogre Magi
PERDAN4IK · 4 games
Primal Beastoften banned
мистер мораль · 4 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Otaker · 4 games
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 4 games
Underlord
мистер мораль · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
491 picks · 675 bans
Clockwerk
415 picks · 490 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 527 bans
Dark Willow
349 picks · 181 bans
Luna
341 picks · 453 bans
Enchantress
305 picks · 597 bans
Dragon Knight
304 picks · 481 bans
Alchemist
301 picks · 626 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 43%
Hero pool strength51% 4Pirates
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% ReBel
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:21
ReBel 59%4Pirates 41%
The model gave 59% on ReBel — the game was taken by 4Pirates in 34:35.
Game 2prediction correct20:38
ReBel 59%4Pirates 41%
The model gave 59% on ReBel — the game was taken by ReBel in 41:05.
Game 3prediction missed37:13
ReBel 59%4Pirates 41%
The model gave 59% on ReBel — the game was taken by 4Pirates in 29:02.
Model check result
Model favoriteReBel · 59%
Series result4Pirates 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3