Snow Sweet Snow #2 · BO3
result vs predictionRGRecast Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TTequilaloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Recast Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Tequila
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
244 picks · 508 bans
Void Spirit
223 picks · 274 bans
Mars
205 picks · 377 bans
Earth Spirit
193 picks · 154 bans
Keeper of the Light
166 picks · 283 bans
Phoenix
161 picks · 187 bans
Nyx Assassin
160 picks · 512 bans
Wraith King
152 picks · 197 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Recast Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Tequila
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTequila · 54%
Series resultRecast Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed