BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Recrent Teamloss 1:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
By_Owl Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Recrent Team
Dazzleoften banned
Ubica · 1 game
Grimstroke
Shishak · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Marcioften banned
Petushara · 1 game
Snapfire
Shishak · 1 game
Templar Assassinoften banned
Smiling Knight · 1 game
Underlord
Petushara · 1 game
Venomancer
Ubica · 1 game
By_Owl Team
Warlock
by_Owl · 6 games
Doomoften banned
meLes · 5 games
Crystal Maiden
by_Owl · 4 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Koma` · 4 games
Magnus
meLes · 4 games
Snapfire
Нексюша · 4 games
Disruptoroften banned
by_Owl · 3 games
Grimstroke
by_Owl · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
766 picks · 359 bans
Disruptor
598 picks · 609 bans
Hoodwink
558 picks · 300 bans
Dragon Knight
458 picks · 527 bans
Mars
449 picks · 733 bans
Tusk
449 picks · 272 bans
Puck
439 picks · 1146 bans
Jakiro
438 picks · 273 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Recrent Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:22
Recrent Team 43%By_Owl Team 57%
The model gave 57% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 46:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom AssassinSmiling Knight
Anti-MageKoma`
KunkkaPetushara
Abaddonblindzone
Void SpiritRecrent
Windrangeravice
TechiesShishak
Winter Wyvernby_Owl
Witch DoctorUbica
Lionrostikfacekid
Game 2prediction correct18:38
Recrent Team 42%By_Owl Team 58%
The model gave 58% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 33:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautSmiling Knight
BroodmotherKoma`
AxePetushara
Dawnbreakerblindzone
LinaRecrent
Sand Kingavice
WeaverShishak
Ogre Magiby_Owl
Vengeful SpiritUbica
Skywrath Magerostikfacekid
Game 3prediction correct16:32
Recrent Team 44%By_Owl Team 56%
The model gave 56% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 40:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom AssassinSmiling Knight
Arc Wardenavice
DoomPetushara
Faceless VoidKoma`
Outworld DestroyerRecrent
Spirit Breakerblindzone
PugnaShishak
Warlockby_Owl
LichUbica
Hoodwinkrostikfacekid
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 63%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3