BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Recrent Team
Anti-Mageoften banned
Smiling Knight · 3 games
Lich
Ubica · 3 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Recrent · 3 games
Venomancer
Ubica · 3 games
Axe
kolya_kaBAN68 · 2 games
Clinkzoften banned
Smiling Knight · 2 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Shishak · 2 games
Dark Willow
Shishak · 2 games
By_Owl Team
Windrangeroften banned
rostikfacekid · 5 games
Dazzle
by_Owl · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
avice · 4 games
Snapfire
rostikfacekid · 4 games
Disruptor
by_Owl · 3 games
Doomoften banned
blindzone · 3 games
Hoodwink
rostikfacekid · 3 games
Juggernaut
Koma` · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
546 picks · 331 bans
Phoenix
475 picks · 571 bans
Rubick
435 picks · 232 bans
Tiny
426 picks · 357 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 491 bans
Jakiro
333 picks · 224 bans
Puck
321 picks · 852 bans
Beastmaster
317 picks · 813 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% Recrent Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:16
Recrent Team 43%By_Owl Team 57%
The model gave 57% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 33:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmotherkolya_kaBAN68
Snapfirereira
Nature's ProphetSmiling Knight
Faceless VoidKoma`
Void SpiritRecrent
Death Prophetblindzone
GrimstrokeShishak
Silencerby_Owl
PudgeUbica
Tuskrostikfacekid
Game 2prediction missed39:20
Recrent Team 41%By_Owl Team 59%
The model gave 59% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 52:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerSmiling Knight
Phantom AssassinKoma`
Marskolya_kaBAN68
Keeper of the Lightreira
SniperRecrent
Tidehunterblindzone
ZeusUbica
Warlockby_Owl
WindrangerShishak
Ringmasterrostikfacekid
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 64%
Series resultRecrent Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2