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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Recrent Teamwin 2:0
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
By_Owl Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Recrent Team

Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Smiling Knight · 3 games
67%
Lich
Lich
Ubica · 3 games
33%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Recrent · 3 games
33%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Ubica · 3 games
33%
Axe
Axe
kolya_kaBAN68 · 2 games
50%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Smiling Knight · 2 games
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Shishak · 2 games
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Shishak · 2 games
50%

By_Owl Team

Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
rostikfacekid · 5 games
40%
Dazzle
Dazzle
by_Owl · 4 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
avice · 4 games
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
rostikfacekid · 4 games
75%
Disruptor
Disruptor
by_Owl · 3 games
33%
Doom
Doomoften banned
blindzone · 3 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rostikfacekid · 3 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
Koma` · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
546 picks · 331 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
475 picks · 571 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
435 picks · 232 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
426 picks · 357 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
360 picks · 491 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
333 picks · 224 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
321 picks · 852 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
317 picks · 813 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% Recrent Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:16
Recrent Team 43%By_Owl Team 57%
The model gave 57% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 33:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Broodmother
Broodmotherkolya_kaBAN68
61% · 50 games48% · 206 games
Snapfirereira
Snapfire
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSmiling Knight
55% · 220 games59% · 70 games
Faceless VoidKoma`
Faceless Void
Void Spirit
Void SpiritRecrent
46% · 212 games47% · 29 games
Death Prophetblindzone
Death Prophet
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeShishak
45% · 79 games47% · 75 games
Silencerby_Owl
Silencer
Pudge
PudgeUbica
55% · 107 games44% · 288 games
Tuskrostikfacekid
Tusk
Game 2prediction missed39:20
Recrent Team 41%By_Owl Team 59%
The model gave 59% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 52:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerSmiling Knight
34% · 27 games52% · 21 game
Phantom AssassinKoma`
Phantom Assassin
Mars
Marskolya_kaBAN68
46% · 302 games53% · 48 games
Keeper of the Lightreira
Keeper of the Light
Sniper
SniperRecrent
44% · 34 games55% · 123 games
Tidehunterblindzone
Tidehunter
Zeus
ZeusUbica
46% · 15 games46% · 234 games
Warlockby_Owl
Warlock
Windranger
WindrangerShishak
57% · 217 games56% · 169 games
Ringmasterrostikfacekid
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 64%
Series resultRecrent Team 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2