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Galaxy Ez Turbo · BO1
result vs prediction
Recrent Teamloss 0:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Stray Teamwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Recrent Team

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Shishak · 4 games
50%
Axe
Axeoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 3 games
33%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Smiling Knight · 3 games
67%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Shishak · 3 games
67%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
Smiling Knight · 3 games
100%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Recrent · 3 games
33%
Lich
Lich
Ubica · 3 games
33%
Pudge
Pudge
Ubica · 3 games
100%

Stray Team

Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
balod9l · 4 games
75%
Rubick
Rubick
Vovapain · 3 games
33%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
zvёzd · 2 games
0%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Vovapain · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Stray · 2 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
DkFogas · 2 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
0%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
Stray · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
640 picks · 445 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
600 picks · 339 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
456 picks · 659 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
448 picks · 522 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
393 picks · 348 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 499 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
342 picks · 389 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
320 picks · 987 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Recrent Team
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total55% Recrent Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Recrent Team 55%Stray Team 45%
The model gave 55% on Recrent Team — the game was taken by Stray Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteRecrent Team · 55%
Series resultStray Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1