ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Red Submarineloss 1:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
chandogswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Red Submarine
Monkey Kingoften banned
Asao · 1 game
Phoenix
JimmyCoff666 · 1 game
Spirit Breaker
Asao · 1 game
Warlock
JimmyCoff666 · 1 game
chandogs
Gyrocopteroften banned
Argius · 1 game
Kunkka
mini-` · 1 game
Muerta
Argius · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
mini-` · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
555 picks · 743 bans
Tusk
498 picks · 355 bans
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 644 bans
Centaur Warrunner
444 picks · 547 bans
Shadow Demon
378 picks · 639 bans
Gyrocopter
366 picks · 547 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 167 bans
Snapfire
354 picks · 116 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% chandogs
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% chandogs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Red Submarine 44%chandogs 56%
The model gave 56% on chandogs — the game was taken by chandogs.
Game 2prediction missed
Red Submarine 44%chandogs 56%
The model gave 56% on chandogs — the game was taken by Red Submarine.
Game 3prediction correct
Red Submarine 44%chandogs 56%
The model gave 56% on chandogs — the game was taken by chandogs.
Model check result
Model favoritechandogs · 56%
Series resultchandogs 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3