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BLAST Slam VII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 0:2
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GLYPHwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 17 games
71%
Tiny
Tiny
inYourdreaM · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 12 games
17%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
TraVins · 11 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 8 games
75%
Kez
Kezsignature
TraVins · 8 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Varizh · 8 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
dalul · 7 games
43%

GLYPH

Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
zeal · 2 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 2 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 1 game
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 1 game
0%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
NARMAN · 1 game
100%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Jhocam · 1 game
100%
Kez
Kezoften banned
JaCkky · 1 game
100%
Largo
Largooften banned
zeal · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
680 picks · 839 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 567 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 423 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
472 picks · 333 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
417 picks · 1146 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
408 picks · 686 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
398 picks · 618 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
393 picks · 1028 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% GLYPH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:32
REKONIX 49%GLYPH 51%
The model gave 51% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 34:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightTraVins
46% · 328 games53% · 39 games
AlchemistJaCkky
Alchemist
Bristleback
BristlebackFbz
50% · 244 games48% · 225 games
Void SpiritEmo
Void Spirit
Monkey King
Monkey KinginYourdreaM
52% · 123 games48% · 153 games
Primal Beastzeal
Primal Beast
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demondalul
56% · 323 games49% · 75 games
Nyx AssassinJhocam
Nyx Assassin
Lion
LionVarizh
55% · 88 games46% · 614 games
JakiroNARMAN
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct20:28
REKONIX 48%GLYPH 52%
The model gave 52% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH in 44:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverTraVins
50% · 153 games54% · 140 games
Shadow FiendJaCkky
Shadow Fiend
Tidehunter
TidehunterFbz
50% · 272 games57% · 219 games
Ember SpiritEmo
Ember Spirit
Void Spirit
Void SpiritinYourdreaM
40% · 259 games58% · 84 games
Largozeal
Largo
Rubick
Rubickdalul
54% · 79 games44% · 293 games
WarlockNARMAN
Warlock
Phoenix
PhoenixVarizh
48% · 339 games48% · 366 games
TuskJhocam
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteGLYPH · 50%
Series resultGLYPH 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2