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ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 0:2
series probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 23 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 14 games
21%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
inYourdreaM · 13 games
38%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
40%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
TraVins · 10 games
50%

PARIVISION

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 24 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 20 games
80%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
9Class · 19 games
58%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
No[o]ne · 18 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 17 games
41%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Satanic · 17 games
41%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No[o]ne · 16 games
56%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
No[o]ne · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
678 picks · 836 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
585 picks · 606 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
482 picks · 419 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
481 picks · 328 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
419 picks · 1096 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
398 picks · 697 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
398 picks · 1014 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
389 picks · 627 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:31
REKONIX 29%PARIVISION 71%
The model gave 71% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 29:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendTraVins
49% · 345 games48% · 289 games
Templar AssassinSatanic
Templar Assassin
Underlord
UnderlordFbz
48% · 225 games57% · 103 games
ViperNo[o]ne
Viper
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritinYourdreaM
56% · 488 games45% · 211 games
Dark SeerSSS
Dark Seer
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamandalul
52% · 447 games44% · 598 games
Tiny9Class
Tiny
Clockwerk
ClockwerkVarizh
53% · 166 games48% · 470 games
WarlockDukalis
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct11:37
REKONIX 29%PARIVISION 71%
The model gave 71% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 36:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinTraVins
52% · 316 games52% · 357 games
Shadow FiendSatanic
Shadow Fiend
Puck
PuckinYourdreaM
51% · 475 games57% · 542 games
Ember SpiritNo[o]ne
Ember Spirit
Mars
MarsFbz
46% · 418 games50% · 162 games
ViperSSS
Viper
Tiny
Tinydalul
49% · 621 game51% · 250 games
PhoenixDukalis
Phoenix
Enchantress
EnchantressVarizh
47% · 139 games45% · 658 games
Tusk9Class
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 85%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2