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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 0:2
series probability
3%97%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
TraVins · 28 games
39%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 22 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 19 games
26%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dalul · 18 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 18 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 17 games
59%
Kez
Kezoften banned
TraVins · 17 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 17 games
47%

PARIVISION

Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 29 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 26 games
81%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 26 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 25 games
68%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 25 games
68%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 22 games
82%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 21 game
62%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Satanic · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
617 picks · 441 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
552 picks · 317 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
410 picks · 377 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
405 picks · 589 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
383 picks · 428 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
343 picks · 498 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
333 picks · 629 bans
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
332 picks · 373 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 80%
Hero pool strength61% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total97% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:41
REKONIX 14%PARIVISION 86%
The model gave 86% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 47:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyTraVins
47% · 177 games52% · 66 games
Drow RangerSatanic
Drow Ranger
Beastmaster
BeastmasterinYourdreaM
48% · 124 games45% · 164 games
DawnbreakerNoticed
Dawnbreaker
Primal Beast
Primal BeastFbz
62% · 49 games59% · 54 games
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
Earth Spirit
Techies
Techiesdalul
50% · 65 games42% · 132 games
Dark Willow9Class
Dark Willow
Enchantress
EnchantressVarizh
51% · 69 games53% · 68 games
Winter WyvernDukalis
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct17:34
REKONIX 15%PARIVISION 85%
The model gave 85% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 32:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidTraVins
65% · 42 games40% · 104 games
SvenSatanic
Sven
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFbz
54% · 166 games48% · 62 games
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
Earth Spirit
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritinYourdreaM
53% · 222 games51% · 210 games
UnderlordNoticed
Underlord
Rubick
Rubickdalul
43% · 139 games52% · 142 games
Keeper of the Light9Class
Keeper of the Light
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeVarizh
45% · 49 games53% · 100 games
LichDukalis
Lich
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 97%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2