DreamLeague Season 27. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The MongolZloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
REKONIX
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 3 games
Ancient Apparition
Varizh · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 2 games
Hoodwink
dalul · 2 games
Lion
dalul · 2 games
Bane
Varizh · 1 game
Disruptor
Varizh · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
TraVins · 1 game
The MongolZ
Doomoften banned
JG · 3 games
Dragon Knight
Bob · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Bob · 3 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
DJ · 3 games
Tusk
DJ · 3 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JG · 2 games
Earthshakeroften banned
Bob · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
DJ · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
297 picks · 190 bans
Puck
294 picks · 686 bans
Dark Willow
258 picks · 109 bans
Tusk
258 picks · 255 bans
Dawnbreaker
256 picks · 640 bans
Nature's Prophet
250 picks · 534 bans
Disruptor
247 picks · 212 bans
Marci
244 picks · 569 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
REKONIX 72%The MongolZ 28%
The model gave 72% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX.
Game 2prediction correct
REKONIX 72%The MongolZ 28%
The model gave 72% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX.
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 72%
Series resultREKONIX 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2