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PGL Wallachia Season 7. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothers.Tearlamentsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 16 games
69%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 10 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 8 games
75%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 8 games
75%
Snapfire
Snapfire
dalul · 7 games
57%
Axe
Axesignature
Fbz · 6 games
83%

Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
niu · 4 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
zzq · 3 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Echo · 3 games
100%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
TK · 3 games
67%
Axe
Axeoften banned
niu · 2 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
niu · 2 games
100%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
lou · 2 games
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
531 picks · 862 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
512 picks · 382 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 637 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
460 picks · 591 bans
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
394 picks · 810 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
351 picks · 566 bans
60%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
344 picks · 573 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
341 picks · 485 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)77% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:22
REKONIX 59%Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments 41%
The model gave 59% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 41:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaTraVins
48% · 42 games49% · 63 games
Anti-Magelou
Anti-Mage
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritinYourdreaM
46% · 304 games53% · 149 games
Underlordniu
Underlord
Razor
RazorFbz
52% · 45 games53% · 22 games
Earth SpiritEcho
Earth Spirit
Tusk
Tuskdalul
46% · 358 games50% · 365 games
TinyTK
Tiny
Disruptor
DisruptorVarizh
52% · 208 games53% · 358 games
Warlockzzq
Warlock
Game 2prediction correct30:7
REKONIX 60%Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments 40%
The model gave 60% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX in 28:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezTraVins
51% · 24 games40% · 169 games
TinyEcho
Tiny
Razor
RazorFbz
52% · 50 games53% · 83 games
Bristlebackniu
Bristleback
Kunkka
KunkkainYourdreaM
45% · 145 games48% · 16 games
Huskarlou
Huskar
Largo
Largodalul
63% · 4 games35% · 68 games
HoodwinkTK
Hoodwink
Bane
BaneVarizh
64% · 148 games56% · 35 games
Elder Titanzzq
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 66%
Series resultREKONIX 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2