RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Rest Farmersloss 0:2series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
Natus Vincere Junior
Lionsignature
Riddys · 36 games
Snapfire
Daze · 35 games
Pangolieroften banned
Niku · 27 games
Pudgesignature
gotthejuice · 25 games
Grimstroke
Riddys · 23 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pma · 21 game
Primal Beastsignature
Niku · 20 games
Pugna
Riddys · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
484 picks · 213 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 628 bans
Batrider
418 picks · 734 bans
Rubick
397 picks · 158 bans
Centaur Warrunner
393 picks · 554 bans
Gyrocopter
386 picks · 328 bans
Pangolier
369 picks · 743 bans
Mars
340 picks · 550 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 65%
Hero pool strength53% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total66% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:26
Rest Farmers 34%Natus Vincere Junior 66%
The model gave 66% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 31:49.
Game 2prediction correct22:40
Rest Farmers 34%Natus Vincere Junior 66%
The model gave 66% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 42:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 66%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2