European Pro League Season 17 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rest Farmersloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SIBE Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
SIBE Team
Rubick
sunset · 19 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ряф^^ · 10 games
Tinyoften banned
sunset · 10 games
Batrideroften banned
Rein · 9 games
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 9 games
Enchantressoften banned
Rein · 8 games
Luna
nesfeer · 8 games
Puckoften banned
ряф^^ · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
500 picks · 784 bans
Batrider
462 picks · 963 bans
Techies
456 picks · 351 bans
Crystal Maiden
451 picks · 196 bans
Tiny
451 picks · 600 bans
Mars
450 picks · 717 bans
Rubick
438 picks · 205 bans
Pangolier
423 picks · 713 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 35%
Hero pool strength54% Rest Farmers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Rest Farmers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Rest Farmers 52%SIBE Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by SIBE Team.
Game 2prediction missed
Rest Farmers 52%SIBE Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by SIBE Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteRest Farmers · 52%
Series resultSIBE Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2