RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Rest Farmersloss 1:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yellow Submarineloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
Yellow Submarine
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 20 games
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 16 games
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 15 games
Lunaoften banned
Satanic · 12 games
Techies
rue · 12 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Satanic · 11 games
Kunkkasignature
erase · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
449 picks · 721 bans
Mars
422 picks · 675 bans
Techies
416 picks · 331 bans
Lion
403 picks · 360 bans
Tiny
400 picks · 522 bans
Batrider
398 picks · 882 bans
Rubick
375 picks · 180 bans
Crystal Maiden
374 picks · 167 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Rest Farmers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:40
Rest Farmers 53%Yellow Submarine 47%
The model gave 53% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 44:38.
Game 2prediction missed19:42
Rest Farmers 53%Yellow Submarine 47%
The model gave 53% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 40:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteRest Farmers · 53%
Accuracy by game0 of 2