BLAST Slam VII. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Roar Gamingwin 2:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
MDMideng Dreamerloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Roar Gaming
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulu · 15 games
Jakirooften banned
RedPanda · 14 games
Disruptor
RedPanda · 12 games
Tusk
CatYou · 12 games
Snapfire
RedPanda · 11 games
Puckoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 10 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 8 games
Mideng Dreamer
Alchemistoften banned
lou · 1 game
Largooften banned
Freeze · 1 game
Void Spirit
7e · 1 game
Warlock
Hara · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
678 picks · 844 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
502 picks · 431 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1146 bans
Ember Spirit
406 picks · 690 bans
Mars
396 picks · 622 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1029 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength63% Mideng Dreamer
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Roar Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Roar Gaming 52%Mideng Dreamer 48%
The model gave 52% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Mideng Dreamer.
Game 2prediction correct
Roar Gaming 52%Mideng Dreamer 48%
The model gave 52% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Roar Gaming.
Game 3prediction correct
Roar Gaming 52%Mideng Dreamer 48%
The model gave 52% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Roar Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoar Gaming · 52%
Series resultRoar Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3