BetBoom Turbo Defense · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamwin 2:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NS Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik Team
No games played over 6 months.
NS Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
258 picks · 430 bans
Muerta
230 picks · 320 bans
Phoenix
221 picks · 326 bans
Tusk
203 picks · 184 bans
Dark Willow
202 picks · 103 bans
Centaur Warrunner
197 picks · 272 bans
Treant Protector
193 picks · 380 bans
Kunkka
183 picks · 512 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Rostik Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Rostik Team 52%NS Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by NS Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Rostik Team 52%NS Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Rostik Team 52%NS Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 52%
Series resultRostik Team 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3