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BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YBN Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rostik Team

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
9970- · 4 games
75%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
zvёzd · 4 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
zvёzd · 3 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iful · 3 games
33%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Vlad · 2 games
50%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
iful · 2 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
9970- · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Vlad · 2 games
100%

YBN Team

Death Prophet
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 5 games
100%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 5 games
80%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
good_mma · 5 games
100%
Windranger
Windranger
EARTHQ · 5 games
80%
Marci
Marcioften banned
EARTHQ · 4 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
zvёzd · 3 games
33%
Broodmother
Broodmother
zvёzd · 3 games
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
ybicanoooobov · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
448 picks · 421 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
438 picks · 222 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 932 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
324 picks · 371 bans
53%
Warlock
Warlock
296 picks · 148 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
292 picks · 225 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
281 picks · 660 bans
53%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
280 picks · 852 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength55% YBN Team
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total64% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:17
Rostik Team 56%YBN Team 44%
The model gave 56% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 35:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageSatanic
40% · 26 games71% · 32 games
Faceless Voidzvёzd
Faceless Void
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritrostislav_999
48% · 248 games49% · 268 games
BeastmasterGroom
Beastmaster
Dark Seer
Dark Seeregxrdemxn
51% · 110 games43% · 51 game
Lichybicanoooobov
Lich
Jakiro
JakiroВоскресенский
48% · 161 game50% · 176 games
PhoenixEARTHQ
Phoenix
Oracle
OracleVlad
45% · 35 games58% · 53 games
Ogre Magigood_mma
Ogre Magi
Game 2prediction correct40:37
Rostik Team 57%YBN Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 40:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidSatanic
little data52% · 59 games
Void Spiritzvёzd
Void Spirit
Timbersaw
Timbersawrostislav_999
48% · 159 games53% · 7 games
Outworld Destroyerybicanoooobov
Outworld Destroyer
Tidehunter
Tidehunteregxrdemxn
54% · 176 games44% · 127 games
MagnusGroom
Magnus
Undying
UndyingVlad
54% · 127 games52% · 182 games
TinyEARTHQ
Tiny
Techies
TechiesВоскресенский
42% · 19 games48% · 106 games
Warlockgood_mma
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 64%
Series resultRostik Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2