ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BBabyKalmaloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rottweilas LATAM
Shadow Fiendoften banned
DaaD- · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
Kez
DaaD- · 2 games
Muerta
Genek · 2 games
Nyx Assassin
Genek · 2 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Adrx · 2 games
Timbersawoften banned
Adrx · 2 games
BabyKalma
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
555 picks · 738 bans
Tusk
496 picks · 353 bans
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 643 bans
Centaur Warrunner
444 picks · 544 bans
Shadow Demon
378 picks · 635 bans
Gyrocopter
365 picks · 546 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 167 bans
Snapfire
354 picks · 116 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Rottweilas LATAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Rottweilas LATAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:18
Rottweilas LATAM 75%BabyKalma 25%
The model gave 75% on Rottweilas LATAM — the game was taken by Rottweilas LATAM in 36:04.
Game 2prediction correct
Rottweilas LATAM 75%BabyKalma 25%
The model gave 75% on Rottweilas LATAM — the game was taken by Rottweilas LATAM.
Model check result
Model favoriteRottweilas LATAM · 75%
Series resultRottweilas LATAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2