DreamLeague Season 28. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Rottweilas LATAMwin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GG Boomloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rottweilas LATAM
Beastmasteroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Kez
DaaD- · 1 game
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Genek · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Slarkoften banned
Genek · 1 game
Tidehunteroften banned
Adrx · 1 game
GG Boom
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
565 picks · 700 bans
Tusk
512 picks · 349 bans
Dragon Knight
486 picks · 663 bans
Centaur Warrunner
450 picks · 547 bans
Snapfire
418 picks · 144 bans
Hoodwink
405 picks · 191 bans
Mars
379 picks · 522 bans
Gyrocopter
374 picks · 518 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% Rottweilas LATAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Rottweilas LATAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rottweilas LATAM 58%GG Boom 42%
The model gave 58% on Rottweilas LATAM — the game was taken by Rottweilas LATAM.
Game 2prediction correct
Rottweilas LATAM 58%GG Boom 42%
The model gave 58% on Rottweilas LATAM — the game was taken by Rottweilas LATAM.
Model check result
Model favoriteRottweilas LATAM · 58%
Series resultRottweilas LATAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2