The International 2022 · BO2
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Uploss 0:2series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hokoriwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
516 picks · 399 bans
Marci
459 picks · 702 bans
Death Prophet
304 picks · 469 bans
Undying
289 picks · 490 bans
Puck
288 picks · 700 bans
Dawnbreaker
280 picks · 395 bans
Enigma
257 picks · 832 bans
Batrider
254 picks · 876 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 51%
Hero pool strength50% Royal Never Give Up
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:38
Royal Never Give Up 72%Hokori 28%
The model gave 72% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Hokori in 1:03:17.
Game 2prediction missed28:21
Royal Never Give Up 72%Hokori 28%
The model gave 72% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Hokori in 46:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 72%
Series resultHokori 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2