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Gamers8 Riyadh Masters · BO2
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.

Team Liquid

Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
iNSaNiA · 14 games
36%
Tiny
Tiny
miCKe · 14 games
36%
Mars
Marsoften banned
zai · 12 games
42%
Io
Iooften banned
iNSaNiA · 11 games
55%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iNSaNiA · 11 games
55%
Razor
Razorsignature
MATUMBAMAN · 11 games
73%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidsignature
MATUMBAMAN · 10 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Boxi · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
580 picks · 445 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
413 picks · 888 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
376 picks · 587 bans
46%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
360 picks · 470 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
349 picks · 179 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
320 picks · 213 bans
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
305 picks · 366 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
296 picks · 576 bans
44%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:39
Royal Never Give Up 52%Team Liquid 48%
The model gave 52% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 50:23.
Game 2prediction missed34:52
Royal Never Give Up 52%Team Liquid 48%
The model gave 52% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 41:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 52%
Accuracy by game0 of 2