Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Китай · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team MagMaloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Team MagMa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
443 picks · 266 bans
Mars
395 picks · 541 bans
Weaver
329 picks · 420 bans
Death Prophet
313 picks · 555 bans
Queen of Pain
301 picks · 463 bans
Tiny
295 picks · 318 bans
Ember Spirit
273 picks · 370 bans
Kunkka
268 picks · 496 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% Royal Never Give Up
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total77% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:40
Royal Never Give Up 77%Team MagMa 23%
The model gave 77% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 44:38.
Game 2prediction missed30:46
Royal Never Give Up 77%Team MagMa 23%
The model gave 77% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Team MagMa in 53:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 77%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2