Gamers8 Riyadh Masters · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Spiritwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Team Spirit
Banesignature
Miposhka · 16 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Yatoro · 12 games
Rubicksignature
Mira · 12 games
Kunkkasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 11 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Mira · 10 games
Marssignature
Collapse · 10 games
Sand Kingsignature
Collapse · 10 games
Storm Spiritsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
577 picks · 444 bans
Puck
417 picks · 890 bans
Mars
363 picks · 580 bans
Dragon Knight
351 picks · 465 bans
Snapfire
350 picks · 178 bans
Bane
316 picks · 202 bans
Dawnbreaker
313 picks · 368 bans
Ember Spirit
292 picks · 568 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 55%
Hero pool strength60% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:23
Royal Never Give Up 46%Team Spirit 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 50:38.
Game 2prediction correct12:35
Royal Never Give Up 46%Team Spirit 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 36:12.
Game 3prediction correct35:8
Royal Never Give Up 46%Team Spirit 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 36:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 54%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3