Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Xtreme Gaming
Puckoften banned
bLink · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Storm · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Storm · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Storm · 1 game
Troll Warlordoften banned
Storm · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
Storm · 1 game
Viperoften banned
Storm · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
295 picks · 597 bans
Void Spirit
269 picks · 343 bans
Mars
234 picks · 420 bans
Earth Spirit
220 picks · 177 bans
Keeper of the Light
191 picks · 360 bans
Nyx Assassin
190 picks · 589 bans
Rubick
190 picks · 102 bans
Wraith King
184 picks · 248 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 60%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:0
Series predictioncorrect