GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Thailand 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
RSGwin 1:0series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Fnaticloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
RSG
No games played over 6 months.
Fnatic
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
706 picks · 519 bans
Puck
511 picks · 988 bans
Dawnbreaker
425 picks · 537 bans
Marci
394 picks · 723 bans
Snapfire
377 picks · 199 bans
Winter Wyvern
338 picks · 338 bans
Zeus
302 picks · 333 bans
Razor
293 picks · 607 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 41%
Hero pool strength50% RSG
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total78% Fnatic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
RSG 22%Fnatic 78%
The model gave 78% on Fnatic — the game was taken by RSG.
Model check result
Model favoriteFnatic · 78%
Series resultRSG 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1