BTS Pro Series Season 11. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
RSGloss 1:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PPatriotsloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
RSG
No games played over 6 months.
Patriots
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
443 picks · 276 bans
Mars
430 picks · 577 bans
Tiny
389 picks · 458 bans
Death Prophet
348 picks · 741 bans
Sand King
328 picks · 455 bans
Ember Spirit
320 picks · 473 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 422 bans
Pangolier
285 picks · 430 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% RSG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% RSG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteRSG · 55%