IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Румынияloss 1:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Турцияwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Румыния
No games played over 6 months.
Турция
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
383 picks · 753 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 317 bans
Rubick
345 picks · 232 bans
Weaver
338 picks · 686 bans
Clockwerk
318 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
310 picks · 381 bans
Pangolier
305 picks · 531 bans
Phoenix
289 picks · 606 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% Румыния
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total60% Турция
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:6
Румыния 40%Турция 60%
The model gave 60% on Турция — the game was taken by Румыния in 18:17.
Game 2prediction correct55:8
Румыния 40%Турция 60%
The model gave 60% on Турция — the game was taken by Турция in 27:18.
Game 3prediction correct21:48
Румыния 40%Турция 60%
The model gave 60% on Турция — the game was taken by Турция in 39:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteТурция · 60%
Series resultТурция 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3