The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Runa Teamwin 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EEnj0yloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Runa Team
Windranger
queezy · 18 games
Tinysignature
nicky`cool · 13 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Hduo · 12 games
Ringmastersignature
Hduo · 12 games
Silencer
Hduo · 9 games
Batridersignature
queezy · 8 games
Slarksignature
Shigetsu · 8 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
queezy · 7 games
Enj0y
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
471 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
446 picks · 504 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 208 bans
Terrorblade
333 picks · 587 bans
Storm Spirit
293 picks · 407 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 620 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 192 bans
Windranger
266 picks · 76 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Runa Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% Runa Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:33
Runa Team 80%Enj0y 20%
The model gave 80% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team in 16:46.
Game 2prediction correct31:35
Runa Team 80%Enj0y 20%
The model gave 80% on Runa Team — the game was taken by Runa Team in 39:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteRuna Team · 80%
Series resultRuna Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2