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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 1:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CHILLAXwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
TA2000 · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
25%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 4 games
50%
Mirana
Mirana
ArrOw · 4 games
50%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 4 games
75%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
33%

CHILLAX

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
443 picks · 265 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
402 picks · 553 bans
54%
Tiny
Tiny
347 picks · 403 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
330 picks · 668 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
298 picks · 432 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
291 picks · 376 bans
54%
Weaver
Weaver
281 picks · 337 bans
51%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassin
258 picks · 548 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% CHILLAX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:23
Rune Eaters 45%CHILLAX 55%
The model gave 55% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 25:04.
Game 2prediction missed34:7
Rune Eaters 45%CHILLAX 55%
The model gave 55% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 30:21.
Game 3prediction correct16:30
Rune Eaters 45%CHILLAX 55%
The model gave 55% on CHILLAX — the game was taken by CHILLAX in 50:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteCHILLAX · 55%
Series resultCHILLAX 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3