Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rune Eaters
Tusk
ani-san · 32 games
Tiny
ani-san · 24 games
Jakiro
Kidaro · 23 games
Windranger
yowaai · 21 game
Batrideroften banned
Ankou · 17 games
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 17 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 17 games
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 17 games
GamerLegion
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 23 games
Tusksignature
Bignum · 22 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 18 games
Warlock
Speeed · 18 games
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 17 games
Largooften banned
Fayde · 17 games
Phoenixoften banned
Speeed · 17 games
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
617 picks · 442 bans
Rubick
550 picks · 315 bans
Tiny
411 picks · 381 bans
Pangolier
405 picks · 585 bans
Phoenix
381 picks · 420 bans
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 500 bans
Clockwerk
338 picks · 630 bans
Storm Spirit
335 picks · 373 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 53%
Hero pool strength54% GamerLegion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% GamerLegion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:36
Rune Eaters 46%GamerLegion 54%
The model gave 54% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 51:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
ClinkzDarkLord^
WindrangerGhost
PuckCopy
LycanFayde
DoomMalik
LargoRCY
Keeper of the LightEkki
Treant ProtectorSpeeed
Clockwerkaik
LionBignum
Game 2prediction missed40:13
Rune Eaters 46%GamerLegion 54%
The model gave 54% on GamerLegion — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 1:08:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendDarkLord^
ViperRCY
Ember SpiritCopy
KezGhost
SnapfireMalik
Keeper of the LightBignum
HoodwinkEkki
AxeFayde
Ringmasteraik
Winter WyvernSpeeed
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2