?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 1:2
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
MODUSwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 39 games
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 36 games
69%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
36%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 34 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 24 games
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Ankou · 23 games
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 23 games
57%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 22 games
55%

MODUS

Rubick
Rubick
prblms · 17 games
35%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 14 games
21%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirele · 12 games
75%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
elmo^^ · 12 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 12 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
prblms · 11 games
55%
Tiny
Tiny
bottega · 11 games
27%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
prblms · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
641 picks · 444 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
593 picks · 335 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
465 picks · 546 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
458 picks · 659 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
419 picks · 370 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
352 picks · 512 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
349 picks · 399 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
332 picks · 1019 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 45%
Hero pool strength51% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total64% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:2
Rune Eaters 56%MODUS 44%
The model gave 56% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 33:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyDarkLord^
50% · 391 game55% · 431 game
PuckMirele
Puck
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritCopy
51% · 315 games48% · 283 games
Tidehunterelmo^^
Tidehunter
Largo
LargoMalik
52% · 136 games53% · 231 game
Kezbottega
Kez
Rubick
RubickEkki
51% · 234 games45% · 145 games
Techiesprblms
Techies
Mirana
Miranaaik
43% · 39 games48% · 25 games
Witch Doctorkasane
Witch Doctor
Game 2prediction missed12:27
Rune Eaters 58%MODUS 42%
The model gave 58% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by MODUS in 37:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendDarkLord^
49% · 241 game52% · 122 games
Medusabottega
Medusa
Slardar
SlardarCopy
45% · 301 game54% · 125 games
Lycanelmo^^
Lycan
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetEkki
54% · 181 game51% · 342 games
Ember SpiritMirele
Ember Spirit
Axe
AxeMalik
46% · 229 games43% · 106 games
Techieskasane
Techies
Bane
Baneaik
57% · 238 games48% · 495 games
Hoodwinkprblms
Hoodwink
Game 3prediction missed33:40
Rune Eaters 55%MODUS 45%
The model gave 55% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by MODUS in 1:11:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerDarkLord^
48% · 286 games52% · 247 games
Terrorbladebottega
Terrorblade
Snapfire
SnapfireMalik
46% · 502 games52% · 548 games
PuckMirele
Puck
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritCopy
51% · 430 games56% · 286 games
Doomelmo^^
Doom
Rubick
RubickEkki
48% · 429 games53% · 798 games
Hoodwinkprblms
Hoodwink
Tusk
Tuskaik
46% · 510 games47% · 278 games
Enchantresskasane
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 64%
Series resultMODUS 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3