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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaterswin 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nemiga Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 39 games
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 36 games
69%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
39%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 34 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 25 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 23 games
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 23 games
57%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 22 games
55%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 23 games
30%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
VaniLLl · 21 game
48%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 18 games
39%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 17 games
47%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 16 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 15 games
40%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Covisnine · 14 games
50%
Tiny
Tiny
selfhate · 14 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
616 picks · 400 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
519 picks · 289 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
485 picks · 581 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
466 picks · 388 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
425 picks · 596 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
342 picks · 969 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
339 picks · 284 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 502 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 54%
Hero pool strength54% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total59% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:28
Rune Eaters 46%Nemiga Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 49:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerDarkLord^
52% · 63 games57% · 152 games
Monkey Kingselfhate
Monkey King
Doom
DoomMalik
51% · 235 games49% · 274 games
Beastmasteryoung G
Beastmaster
Kunkka
KunkkaCopy
40% · 137 games54% · 182 games
AxeCovisnine
Axe
Rubick
RubickEkki
45% · 376 games51% · 408 games
Hoodwinkariel
Hoodwink
Ringmaster
Ringmasteraik
49% · 309 games53% · 104 games
LichFishman
Lich
Game 2prediction missed27:9
Rune Eaters 46%Nemiga Gaming 54%
The model gave 54% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 34:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaDarkLord^
48% · 202 games43% · 40 games
Necrophosselfhate
Necrophos
Pangolier
PangolierCopy
47% · 384 games43% · 248 games
Queen of Painyoung G
Queen of Pain
Largo
LargoMalik
55% · 119 games46% · 199 games
TimbersawCovisnine
Timbersaw
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightEkki
58% · 136 games50% · 269 games
Rubickariel
Rubick
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoraik
55% · 122 games54% · 207 games
DisruptorFishman
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 59%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2