ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Rune Eaterswin 1:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PKPandora Krisloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rune Eaters
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 51 game
Jakirooften banned
Htrd · 43 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 38 games
Void Spirit
Ethereal · 33 games
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 27 games
Slardarsignature
Ankou · 25 games
Disruptor
Htrd · 24 games
Tinyoften banned
raregods · 24 games
Pandora Kris
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
558 picks · 737 bans
Tusk
499 picks · 353 bans
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 645 bans
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 547 bans
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 630 bans
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 545 bans
Hoodwink
362 picks · 173 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 119 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rune Eaters 91%Pandora Kris 9%
The model gave 91% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 91%
Series resultRune Eaters 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1