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European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Power Rangerswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 47 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 42 games
48%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
39%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 35 games
46%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 35 games
54%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
81%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 25 games
56%

Power Rangers

Slardar
Slardaroften banned
nicky`cool · 31 game
58%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 28 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 27 games
56%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 25 games
48%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 23 games
70%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 22 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 20 games
65%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 19 games
68%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
486 picks · 268 bans
57%
Jakiro
Jakiro
486 picks · 396 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
482 picks · 549 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
459 picks · 353 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
398 picks · 343 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
363 picks · 823 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
349 picks · 863 bans
53%
Warlock
Warlock
341 picks · 199 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 62%
Hero pool strength52% Power Rangers
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total68% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:30
Rune Eaters 40%Power Rangers 60%
The model gave 60% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 29:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeyowaai
48% · 237 games52% · 288 games
UrsaEyesight
Ursa
Puck
PuckEthereal
48% · 330 games50% · 250 games
AxeAlberkaaa
Axe
Brewmaster
BrewmasterAnkou
44% · 81 game50% · 457 games
Slardarnicky`cool
Slardar
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkani-san
52% · 352 games57% · 259 games
ChenHduo
Chen
Warlock
WarlockKidaro
52% · 320 games44% · 66 games
TechiesImmersion
Techies
Game 2prediction correct23:41
Rune Eaters 40%Power Rangers 60%
The model gave 60% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 44:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
Ursayowaai
51% · 258 games52% · 75 games
Snipernicky`cool
Sniper
Death Prophet
Death ProphetAnkou
53% · 40 games44% · 379 games
Queen of PainEyesight
Queen of Pain
Slardar
SlardarEthereal
55% · 358 games48% · 301 game
UnderlordAlberkaaa
Underlord
Warlock
WarlockKidaro
48% · 370 games52% · 448 games
HoodwinkImmersion
Hoodwink
Tusk
Tuskani-san
48% · 529 games52% · 352 games
PhoenixHduo
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 68%
Series resultPower Rangers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2