?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Power Rangerswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 40 games
73%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 36 games
53%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
39%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 35 games
51%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 32 games
81%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 31 game
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 26 games
58%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 23 games
57%

Power Rangers

Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 33 games
61%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 30 games
53%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 27 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 27 games
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 27 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 22 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 20 games
65%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
511 picks · 296 bans
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
480 picks · 572 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
438 picks · 353 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
432 picks · 338 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
372 picks · 322 bans
55%
Rubick
Rubick
348 picks · 184 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
347 picks · 839 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
347 picks · 846 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% Power Rangers
Head-to-head1 – 5
Model total68% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:38
Rune Eaters 41%Power Rangers 59%
The model gave 59% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 30:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeyowaai
52% · 205 games52% · 53 games
Drow RangerTA2000
Drow Ranger
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainEthereal
51% · 255 games54% · 285 games
Sand Kingnicky`cool
Sand King
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAnkou
52% · 247 games52% · 544 games
SlardarAlberkaaa
Slardar
Jakiro
JakiroKidaro
44% · 381 game49% · 401 game
PhoenixImmersion
Phoenix
Tusk
Tuskani-san
48% · 381 game46% · 186 games
ClockwerkHduo
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct16:39
Rune Eaters 41%Power Rangers 59%
The model gave 59% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 27:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
Kezyowaai
51% · 125 games46% · 67 games
MagnusTA2000
Magnus
Monkey King
Monkey KingEthereal
49% · 169 games48% · 513 games
Tinynicky`cool
Tiny
Batrider
BatriderAnkou
58% · 306 games53% · 201 game
DoomAlberkaaa
Doom
Tusk
Tuskani-san
46% · 449 games46% · 165 games
SilencerHduo
Silencer
Phoenix
PhoenixKidaro
45% · 229 games57% · 332 games
WindrangerImmersion
Windranger
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 68%
Series resultPower Rangers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2