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BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 0:1
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Lynxwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 55 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
monodrama · 46 games
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 41 game
46%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 36 games
56%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
ani-san · 33 games
39%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 31 game
58%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
81%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kidaro · 30 games
57%

Team Lynx

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 25 games
60%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 21 game
62%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 20 games
65%
Sand King
Sand King
mellojul · 20 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
70%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 16 games
69%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
QBFY · 16 games
63%
Ursa
Ursasignature
7jesu · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
677 picks · 844 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1140 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 688 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
396 picks · 621 bans
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 64%
Hero pool strength54% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total67% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rune Eaters 33%Team Lynx 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 67%
Series resultTeam Lynx 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1