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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Rune Eatersloss 1:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
ani-san · 34 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 23 games
35%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 23 games
30%
Windranger
Windranger
yowaai · 20 games
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 18 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 17 games
47%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 17 games
65%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Ethereal · 16 games
56%

Xtreme Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 31 game
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 26 games
62%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 25 games
44%
Tiny
Tiny
NothingToSay · 23 games
43%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 20 games
70%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 19 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ame · 18 games
56%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Ame · 18 games
39%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
608 picks · 434 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
558 picks · 326 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
416 picks · 589 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
401 picks · 366 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
390 picks · 443 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
325 picks · 371 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 483 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
309 picks · 216 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 37%
Hero pool strength51% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed42:23
Rune Eaters 50%Xtreme Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 47:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyDarkLord^
50% · 440 games45% · 214 games
DawnbreakerXxs
Dawnbreaker
Doom
DoomMalik
52% · 238 games46% · 328 games
WindrangerAme
Windranger
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritCopy
47% · 386 games53% · 220 games
Monkey KingNothingToSay
Monkey King
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetEkki
50% · 217 games51% · 570 games
Hoodwinkfy
Hoodwink
Ringmaster
Ringmasteraik
50% · 299 games56% · 248 games
BanexNova
Bane
Game 2prediction missed25:42
Rune Eaters 53%Xtreme Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 57:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterCopy
48% · 386 games50% · 270 games
SnapfireXxs
Snapfire
Windranger
WindrangerDarkLord^
50% · 355 games51% · 277 games
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
Ember Spirit
Undying
UndyingMalik
48% · 176 games47% · 352 games
TinyAme
Tiny
Mirana
MiranaEkki
58% · 46 games47% · 217 games
Rubickfy
Rubick
Clockwerk
Clockwerkaik
52% · 335 games53% · 182 games
BanexNova
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 53%
Accuracy by game0 of 2